We've all seen it. The market dips, headlines scream about geopolitical turmoil, and the gut reaction kicks in: sell, sell, sell! When it comes to Bitcoin, that knee-jerk panic betrays a more insidious reality. It pokes fun at our complicated relationship with risk and fear — and even what money really is.

War Fears Clouding Rationality?

James Lavish is right. To sell your Bitcoin due to fear over war reveals a profound miscalculation. It's like selling your farmland because there's a hurricane brewing hundreds of miles away. Yes, there can be unintended effects, but the foundational value is undeniable.

Think about it. Bitcoin, in spirit and in intention, was always supposed to be decentralized. It was built intentionally to ensure that no government or institution had control over it. War, as we’ve seen in Ukraine, by its very nature, lays bare the fragile foundations of those systems. Isn’t that supposed to make Bitcoin more attractive, not the opposite?

The dip from $103,970 to $100,962? A blip. A short-lived emotional response exacerbated by social media bubbles and the nonstop news cycle. The following breakout above $102,800, supported by surging bullish demand, confirms it.

The Lizard Brain Takes Over

Here's the uncomfortable truth: most panic selling isn't driven by rational analysis. It’s governed by the amygdala, that prehistoric area of our brains that controls fear and flight response.

Now, all of a sudden, Bitcoin isn’t a revolutionary technology or a great store of value. It's a threat. A source of anxiety. And our primal instinct is to just want to destroy that threat, without thinking about the long-term impacts.

This isn't just about Bitcoin. It’s really a book about how fear can take control of our decision-making institutions in public life and in private life as well. People tend to act impulsively in a financial panic. This is as true with their protectionist past as it is with their skepticism of climate change.

Ever wonder how disinformation goes viral in times of crisis? That’s because fear, like other strong emotions, render us more vulnerable to emotional appeal and less able to think critically. We long for certainty, perhaps especially when that certainty is built on a foundation of lies. Not to knock deadly serious problems like war — the point is don’t allow fear to hijack your thinking.

Missing Bitcoin's Value Proposition?

A real tragedy of panic selling isn’t mere financial loss. It's the missed opportunity to understand Bitcoin's true potential.

Bitcoin isn't just about getting rich quick. It’s about building a better financial system, one that’s resilient and decentralized. It’s not just about elevating people, but about shaking up the status quo.

To sell during a dip, in an act motivated by fear, is a betrayal of that vision. Even worse, it’s a capitulation to the same forces Bitcoin was created to combat in the first place.

Consider this: the $100K–$110K range containing Bitcoin's price for a month isn't a sign of weakness. It's a sign of consolidation. Breathe in and enjoy this moment of calm before the next leg upwards.

Here's a table of what to do when you are in doubt:

The disproportionate human cost of panic selling goes beyond just individual misfactors. It undermines the entire crypto ecosystem. It produces market volatility, chills needed innovation, and emboldens the very interests that wish to quash competition.

  • Am I selling because I understand the risks, or because I'm afraid?
  • Am I focused on the short-term fluctuations, or the long-term potential?
  • Am I letting my emotions dictate my decisions, or am I thinking rationally?

Consider the hopeful families who put their life savings in Bitcoin, trusting its pitched utopia of liberation from economic bondage. Now, imagine them selling in a panic, driven by fear of war, and losing a significant portion of their investment.

EmotionAction
FearReview investment thesis, seek advice
GreedReassess risk tolerance
DoubtResearch, diversify
OverconfidenceTake a break, consult experts

The Human Cost of Fear

Ultimately, knowing the psychology at play when people panic sell is key to surviving the unpredictable game that is Bitcoin. It’s about calling out our own biases, stopping ourselves from knee-jerking in an emotional way, and doubling down on the long-term vision. Fear of the unknown should not be the thing that steals away the future.

Think about the families who invested their savings in Bitcoin, believing in its promise of financial freedom. Now, imagine them selling in a panic, driven by fear of war, and losing a significant portion of their investment.

That's not just a market correction. That's a human tragedy.

Ultimately, understanding the psychology behind panic selling is crucial for navigating the volatile world of Bitcoin. It's about recognizing our own biases, resisting the urge to react emotionally, and focusing on the long-term vision. Don't let fear rob you of the future.